The Founding Charter Six charters, by application
Horizon

Forward intelligence. Modeled, sealed, scored.

§ 01What Horizon is

A trigger fires. The chain reaction comes out.

Horizon models what happens next — and ships the work sealed, so the forecast can be checked.

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Receipt · Horizon forecast
Forecastforecast://horizon/copper-shock
Issued2026.05.21 · sealed at issue
Resultsha256:b1d05f6a…9e27
Sealedopentimestamps
Calibrationpending · uncalibrated
✓ Verified sealed when issued
01 Cascade modelingA trigger fires; Horizon traces the chain reaction wave by wave, instrument by instrument.
02 Scenario pathsRanked best, base and worst outcomes, each carrying its own probability range.
03 Confidence per linkEach link in the cascade carries a confidence grade. Forecasting without false precision.
04 Sealed at issueEvery forecast is hash-sealed and timestamped the moment it is made. NEXI Verify seals it.
05 Scored against outcomesThe track record is published, the hits and the misses, on one open ledger.

Horizon is in active build. Every forecast ships labelled uncalibrated until an independent, published track record earns it a higher mark. Horizon forecasts — it is not investment advice.

§ 02Who it is for

For decisions that turn on what comes next.

01 Investment and risk Funds and allocators sizing exposure to a shock before it moves through the market.
02 Corporate strategy Strategy and risk desks that have to brief a board on what a disruption does next.
03 Policy and sovereign Ministries and multilaterals modeling how a trigger propagates across borders.
04 Re and insurance Carriers pricing tail risk who need the cascade made explicit, link by link.
§ 03The discipline

Three rules forecasting rarely keeps.

A forecast is only worth its track record. Horizon publishes the record.

01 No forecast without its evidenceThe source chain and the method are attached to every forecast Horizon issues.
02 No number without its uncertaintyEvery figure carries a confidence range. A point estimate alone is not shipped.
03 No forecast left un-scoredSealed when made, then scored against what actually happened — in the open.
§ 04Perimeter

Honest about what it will and will not take on.

In scopeWhere Horizon runs
01 Cascade modeling of market and geopolitical shocks
02 Scenario paths at longer horizons, with confidence ranges
03 Forecasts sealed at issue and scored against outcomes
Out of scopeWhere it declines
01 Investment advice or tradeable signals — Horizon forecasts, it does not advise
02 Sentiment and cultural research — that is Spectra
03 Any forecast shown without its calibration status
§ 05The Founding Charter

Six charters. The calibration partnership.

Horizon is being built with its first members, not sold to them — six charters, and we are choosing carefully.

Who we takeBy application
01 A real forecasting functionAn institution that runs a live forecasting or risk desk — a fund, a strategy team, a policy body.
02 A named sponsorAn executive who will score Horizon’s forecasts honestly against what happens.
03 Willing to publishReady to let the calibration record — the hits and the misses — be made public.
04 A decision that looks aheadA call that turns on what is coming, not on what is true today.
What a charter holdsHeld for members
01 The charter rateA recurring annual rate, locked for a defined term, held through build and the first production renewal.
02 A hand in calibrationYour domain shapes which shocks and instruments Horizon learns to model first.
03 A voice in the methodologyDirect roadmap input with the people building Horizon. The member is consulted; NEXI decides. Influence, never authorship.
04 First access, namedFirst production access when the forecast surface graduates, and a charter-member designation, named with your consent.
The termsSix charters, then closed
01 Founding Charter6 CHARTERS A calibration partnership through build — your domain modeled first, the charter rate locked before Horizon ships. from $80K / yrCharter 01
02 Standard rate The production rate once the six charters are placed, set through NEXI’s own Verify Value Model. $180K / yrVVM-set
03 Enterprise Custom scope, multi-market or sovereign deployments beyond the charter. Request a quote
How the build is paidMilestone-gated
01 M1 · scope accepted30% on a written specification the member has formally accepted.
02 M2 · backend live40% on a working backend running in the member’s environment.
03 M3 · verified output30% on output that meets the agreed acceptance criteria.
04 The remedyFor a delay, the sole remedy is a service credit or a timeline extension — never a full refund.

Six charters. There will never be more. Charter 01 opens the lowest annual rate Horizon will ever offer, and each charter steps toward the standard rate. The charter deposit credits in full against the year-one subscription, on a minimum committed term. Horizon is delivered against the milestones above, with a service-credit remedy — never an open-ended deliverable behind one fee. Methodology, models and the standard stay NEXI’s sole property, and the charter rate is not a most-favoured-customer term. Charter enquiries: hello@nexiverify.com.

§ 06The family

Horizon is one of three.

Horizon is being built with its charter members.

Six charters. By application. When they are placed, the charter closes.

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